Preliminary analysis of predict model of fishing effort spatial distribution for skipjack tuna catches by purse seine in the west-central Pacific Ocean
-
摘要: 中西太平洋是全球主要的鲣鱼(Katsuwonus pelamis)围网作业渔场,渔场极易受到海洋环境的影响,但渔场分布在众多岛国的管辖海域,如何科学指导企业准确入渔是重要的研究课题。本文根据1995-2012年中西太平洋鲣鱼围网捕捞生产统计数据,选取产量最高的22个海区(5°×5°),结合Niñ;o3.4区海表温度距平值(SSTA)和作业海域表温(SST),研究中西太平洋鲣鱼围网渔场的空间分布规律,同时,以各海区捕捞努力量(作业次数)所占的百分比为入渔指标,建立基于环境因子的入渔决策模型。研究认为,中西太平洋鲣鱼捕捞努力量在纬度方向上主要分布于5°S~5°N,其累计捕捞努力量占所有作业海区的87.4%,其中以130°~140°E经度范围为最高,其捕捞努力量占22个海区的45.08%。入渔指标与Niñ;o3.4区的SSTA、作业海域SST均符合正态模型(P<0.01),Niñ;o3.4区的SSTA最适值为0.25℃,作业海域SST最适值在29.5℃左右。对预测和实际排名前十的海域进行统计发现,预测值与实际值基本一致。研究认为,所建立的入渔预测模型可有效指导企业的渔业生产,为提高企业生产效率提供支撑。Abstract: The west-central Pacific Ocean is the world's most important fishing ground for skipjack tuna (katsuwonus pelamis), this fishing area is always impact by ocean environment, especially sea surface temperature (SST) and Niño 3.4 index(SSTA). However, the fishing ground of skipjack tuna is widely distributed in the waters of many island countries, how to scientific guide the entry-fishing is an important studying object. According to the production data of skipjack tuna in the west-central Pacific Ocean during 1995-2012, and the total of 22 fishing zones (5°×5°) with the high catch are selected to analyze the spatial variation of fishing effort for skipjack tuna in central-west Pacific Ocean. The percentage of fishing effort is also regarded as the index of entry-fishing, and the optimal entry-fishing model between the index of entry-fishing and SST or SSTA is established. The results showed that main fishing efforts were focused in the area of 5°S-5°N in the direction of latitude, accounting for 87.4% of the total fishing effort. The area of 130°-140°E was the major fishing zone area in the longitudinal direction, accounting for 45.08% of the total fishing effort in the 22 fishing zones. The relationships between the index of entry-fishing and SSTA or SST all showed the normal distribution (P<0.01) for each fishing zone. The suitable value of SSTA model was on early 0.25℃, and the suitable value of SST model was nearly 29.5℃. For the top 10 ranking of entry-fishing index, we find that the actual index and predicted value is the same. It is concluded that this entry-fishing forecasting model can effectively predict fishing area distribution, which could give us a suitable advice for fisheries industries in the future.
-
Key words:
- west-central Pacific Ocean /
- skipjack tuna /
- fishing effort /
- spatial distribution /
- predict model
-
Collette B B, Nauen C E. FAO species catalogue:vol. 2 scombrids of the world:an annotated and illustrated catalogue of tunas, mackerels, bonitos, and related species known to date[R]. FAO Fisheries Synopsis, 1983:83-86. 陈新军, 郑波. 中西太平洋金枪鱼围网渔业鲣鱼资源的时空分布[J]. 海洋学研究, 2007, 25(2):13-22. Chen Xinjun, Zheng Bo. Study on the temp-spatial distribution of skipjack resources for tuna purse seine in the west-central Pacific Ocean[J]. Journal of Marine Sciences, 2007, 25(2):13-22. 丁琪, 陈新军, 耿婷, 等. 基于渔获统计的太平洋岛国渔业资源开发利用现状评价[J]. 生态学报, 2016, 36(8):2295-2303. Ding Qi, Chen Xinjun, Geng Ting, et al. Evaluation on utilization state of marine fishery resources of Pacific Islands based on catch statistics[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2016, 36(8):2295-2303. 周甦芳, 沈建华, 樊伟. ENSO现象对中西太平洋鲣鱼围网渔场的影响分析[J]. 海洋渔业, 2004, 26(3):167-172. Zhou Sufang, Shen Jianhua, Fan Wei. Impacts of the El Niño Southern Oscillation on skipjack tuna (Katsuwonus pelamis) purse-seine fishing grounds in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean[J]. Marine Fisheries, 2004, 26(3):167-172. Hampton J, Lewis A, Williams P. The western and central Pacific tuna fishery:1999 overview and status of stocks[R]. Oceanic Fisheries Programme, 1999:39. Hampton J. Estimates of tag-reporting and tag-shedding rates in a large-scale tuna tagging experiment in the western tropical Pacific Ocean[J]. Fishery Bulletin, 1997, 95:68-79. 周甦芳. 厄尔尼诺-南方涛动现象对中西太平洋鲣鱼围网渔场的影响[J]. 中国水产科学, 2005, 12(6):739-744. Zhou Sufang. Impacts of the El Niño Southern Oscillation on skipjack tuna purse-seine fishing grounds in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean[J]. Journal of Fishery Sciences of China, 2005, 12(6):739-744. 汪金涛, 陈新军. 中西太平洋鲣鱼渔场的重心变化及其预测模型建立[J]. 中国海洋大学学报, 2013, 43(8):44-48. Wang Jintao, Chen Xinjun. Changes and prediction of the fishing ground gravity of skipjack (Katsuwonus pelamis) in Western-Central Pacific[J]. Periodical of Ocean University of China, 2013, 43(8):44-48. 《世界大洋性渔业概况》编写组. 世界大洋性渔业概况[M]. 北京:海洋出版社, 2011. Compilation of World Oceanic Fishery Status. World Oceanic Fishery Status[M]. Beijing:China Ocean Press, 2011. 农业部渔业渔政管理局. 2014中国渔业年鉴[M]. 北京:中国农业出版社, 2014. Fisheries Fishery Administration, Ministry of Agriculture. Fisheries Yearbook 2014,China[M]. Beijing:China Agriculture Press, 2014. 沈建华, 陈雪冬, 崔雪森. 中西太平洋金枪鱼围网鲣鱼渔获量时空分布分析[J]. 海洋渔业, 2006, 28(1):13-19. Shen Jianhua, Chen Xuedong, Cui Xuesen. Analysis on spatial-temporal distribution of skipjack tuna catches by purse seine in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean[J]. Marine Fisheries, 2006, 28(1):13-19. Lehodey P, Bertignac M, Hampton J, et al. El Niño Southern Oscillation and tuna in the western Pacific[J]. Nature, 1997, 389(6652):715-718. 唐浩, 许柳雄, 陈新军, 等. 基于GAM模型研究时空及环境因子对中西太平洋鲣鱼渔场的影响[J]. 海洋环境科学, 2013, 32(4):518-522. Tang Hao, Xu Liuxiong, Chen Xinjun, et al. Effects of spatiotemporal and environmental factors on the fishing ground of skipjack tuna (Katsuwonus pelamis) in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean based on generalized additive model[J]. Marine Environmental Science, 2013, 32(4):518-522. 杨胜龙, 周甦芳, 周为峰, 等. 基于Argo数据的中西太平洋鲣渔获量与水温、表层盐度关系的初步研究[J]. 大连水产学院学报, 2010, 25(1):34-40. Yang Shenglong, Zhou Sufang, Zhou Weifeng, et al. The relationship between skipjack Katsuwonus pelamis catch and water temperature and surface salinity in the west-central Pacific Ocean based on Argo data[J]. Journal of Dalian Fisheries University, 2010, 25(1):34-40. 郭爱, 陈新军. 利用水温垂直结构研究中西太平洋鲣鱼栖息地指数[J]. 海洋渔业, 2009, 31(1):1-9. Guo Ai, Chen Xinjun. Studies on the habitat suitability index based on the vertical structure of water temperature for skipjack Katsywonus pelamis purse seine fishery in the western-central Pacific Ocean[J]. Marine Fisheries, 2009, 31(1):1-9. 叶泰豪, 冯波, 颜云榕, 等. 中西太平洋鲣渔场与温盐垂直结构关系的研究[J]. 海洋湖沼通报, 2012(1):49-55. Ye Taihao, Feng Bo, Yan Yunrong, et al. The relationship between skipjack Katsuwonus pelamis catch and vertical water temperature and salinity in the West-central Pacific Ocean[J]. Transactions of Oceanology and Limnology, 2012(1):49-55. Chen Xinjun, Tian Siquan, Liu Bilin, et al. Modeling a habitat suitability index for the eastern fall cohort of Ommastrephes bartramii in the central North Pacific Ocean[J]. Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology, 2011, 29(3):493-504. Tian Siquan, Chen Xinjun, Chen Yong, et al. Evaluating habitat suitability indices derived from CPUE and fishing effort data for Ommatrephes bratramii in the northwestern Pacific Ocean[J]. Fisheries Research, 2009, 95(2/3):181-188.
点击查看大图
计量
- 文章访问数: 805
- HTML全文浏览量: 16
- PDF下载量: 655
- 被引次数: 0