北极河流径流量变化及影响因子分析

隋翠娟; 张占海; 刘骥平; 单琰焱

北极河流径流量变化及影响因子分析

1.
国家海洋环境预报中心, 北京, 100081
2.
中国极地研究中心, 上海, 200136
3.
中国科学院, 大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室, 北京 100029

基金项目: 国家自然科学基金面上项目(40676003);中国科学院“百人计划”资助;国家科技支撑计划项目(2006BAB18B03);国家重点基础研究发展计划项目(2006CB403605);公益性行业科研专项(2008416022)

计量
- 文章访问数: 909
- HTML全文浏览量: 4
- PDF下载量: 1187
- 被引次数: 0
出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2008-01-11
- 修回日期: 2008-04-17

Variation of Arctic runoff and its association with climate factors

1.
National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center, Beijing 100081, China
2.
Polar Research Institute of China, Shanghai 200136, China
3.
State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Science and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China

摘要

摘要: 利用最新的北极径流资料(R-arcticNET V3.0和Arctic RIMS),对进入北冰洋的4条主要河流的季节及年代际变化进行诊断分析。结果表明:入海径流在4-6月的大幅增加主要是由气温达到融点后积雪融化造成的,降水的作用次之。总的来说,欧亚区域在过去的70年里入海径流量是增加的,而北美区域在近30年里入海径流量是减小的,但注入北冰洋的径流总量是增大的。值得注意的是入海径流的年代际变化在不同季节增减趋势显著不同,夏季和秋季径流量减小,而其他两个季节径流量增大。进一步分析了影响入海径流变化的一些气候因子,结果表明:北大西洋涛动(北太平洋指数)与欧亚(北美)区域的冬、春季径流量存在正相关。春季气温与春季径流量呈正相关,而与夏季径流量呈负相关。降水与径流量基本上为同步正相关。春季积雪覆盖面积与春季径流量为负相关,而与夏季径流量为正相关,夏季积雪覆盖面积与夏季的径流量为正相关。
- 北极径流 /
- 大气环流 /
- 气温 /
- 降水 /
- 积雪覆盖面积
Abstract: Using the latest Arctic runoff data set,including R-ArcticNET V3.0 and ArcticRIMS,analyze the seasonal variation and decadal trend of four dominant rivers that flow into the Arctic.The results show that there is a sharp increase of the Arcticrunoff from April to June,which is primarily due to snow melt when surface air temperature exceeds the freezing point.The contribution of the precipitation is secondary.The discharge into the Arctic from Eurasia has increased for the past 70 years,whereas the discharge from North American has decreased for the past 30 year.However,the total discharge into the Arctic has increased.More importantly,the decadal trend of the Arctic runoff is seasonally dependent.There is a downward trend in summer and autumn,and an upward trend in spring and winter.Wefurther discuss the influence of atmospheric circulation and surface climate conditions on seasonal discharges of the four rivers.The results suggest that the North Atlantic Oscillation (North Pacific Index) has positive correlation with discharge in winter and spring from Eurasia (North American).Surface air tem perature in spring has positive (negative) relationship with discharges in spring (summer).Precipitation and discharges show almost simultaneous in-phase relationship.Snow cover in spring has negative (positive) correlation with runoff in spring (summer).Summer snow cover has positive relationship with summer runoff.
- Arctic runoff /
- atmospheric circulation /
- surface air temperature /
- precipitation /
- snow cover

HTML全文

参考文献(22)

MORISON J,AAGAARD K,STEELE M.Recent environmental changes in the Arctic:A review[J].Arctic,2000,53:359-371.

KRAJICK K.Arctic life,on thin ice[J].Science,2001,291:424-425.

SERREZE M C,WALSH J E,CHAPIN III F S.Observational evidence of recent change in the northern high-latitude environment[J].Climatic Change,2000,46:159-207.

朱大勇,赵进平,史久新.北极楚科奇海海冰面积多年变化的研究[J].海洋学报,2007,29:25-33.

SERREZE M C,MASLANIK J A,SCAMBOS T,et al.A record minimum arctic sea ice extent and area in 2002[J].Geophysical Research Letters,2003,30(3),1110,doi: 10.1029/2002GL016406.

PARKINSON C L,CAVALIERI D J,GLOERSEN P.Arctic sea ice extents,areas,and trends,1978-1996[J].Journal of Geophysical Research,1999,104:20837-20856.

LIU J,CURRY J A,HU Y.Recent Arctic sea ice variability:connections to the Arctic oscillation and the ENSO[J].Geophysical Research Letters,2004,31,doi: 10.1029/2004GL019858.

CHAPIN III F S,STURM M,SERREZE M C,et al.Role of land-surface changes in Arctic summer warming[J].Science,2005,310(5748):657-660,DOI: 10.1126/science.1117368.

ROTHROCK D A,YU Y,MAYKUT G A.Thinning of the Arctic sea-ice cover[J].Geophysical Research Letters,1999,26:3469-3472.

MCPHEE M G,MORISON J H.Freshening of the upper ocean in the Arctic:is perennial sea ice disappearing?[J].Geophysical Research Letters,1998,25:1729-1732.

STEELE M,BOYD T.Retreat of the haiocline layer in the Arctic Ocean[J].Journal of Geophysical Research,1998,103(C5):10419-10435.

BARRY R G,SERREZE M C.Atmospheric components of the Arctic Ocean freshwater balance and their interannual variability[C]//LEWIS E L,et al.The Freshwater Budget of the Arctic Ocean.Berlin:Springer,2000:45-56.

ERIK S.River flow could derail crucial ocean current[J].Science,2002,298:2110.

OTTER O H,DRANGE H.A possible feedback mechanism involving the Arctic freshwater,the Arctic sea ice,and the North Atlantic drift[J].Advances in Atmospheric Sciences,2004,21(5):784-801.

LUBINSKIA D J,POLYAKB L,FORMAN S L.Freshwater and Atlantic water inflows to the deep northern Barents and Kara seas since ca 13 ¹⁴C ka:foraminifera and stable isotopes[J].Quaternary Science Reviews,2001,20:1851-1879.

高郭平,赵进平,董兆乾,等.白令海峡海域夏季温、盐分布及变化[J].极地研究,2004,16(3):229-239.

PETERSON B J,HOLMES R M,MCCLELLAND J W.Increasing river discharge to the Arctic Ocean[J].Science,2002,298:2171-2173.

MATTHIAS P.GERRIT L.Effects of mid-HoloceRe river runoff on the Arctic ocean/sea-ice system:a numerical model study[J].The Holocene,2003,13(3):335-342.

黄嘉佑.气象统计分析与预报方法[M].北京:气象出版社,2004.

YANG D Q.KANE D L,HINZMAN L D,et al.Siberian Lena River hydrologic regime and recent change[J].Journal of Geophysical Researth,2002,107(D23):4694,doi: 10.1029/2002JD002542.

YANG D Q,YE B S,KANE D L.Stream flow changes over Siberian Yenisei River Basin[J].Journal of Hydrology,2004,296:59-80.

VIATCHESLAV V K.FRANCIS W Z.Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the IPCC ensemble of global coupled model simulations[J].Journal of Climate,2007,20(8):1419-1444.

施引文献

资源附件(0)

访问统计