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东亚夏季气候主要模态的年际变化及其机理

胡增臻

胡增臻. 东亚夏季气候主要模态的年际变化及其机理[J]. 海洋学报, 1999, 21(6): 26-39.
引用本文: 胡增臻. 东亚夏季气候主要模态的年际变化及其机理[J]. 海洋学报, 1999, 21(6): 26-39.
Hu Zengzhen. Interannual variability of summer climate modeover East Asia and its mechanism[J]. Haiyang Xuebao, 1999, 21(6): 26-39.
Citation: Hu Zengzhen. Interannual variability of summer climate modeover East Asia and its mechanism[J]. Haiyang Xuebao, 1999, 21(6): 26-39.

东亚夏季气候主要模态的年际变化及其机理

基金项目: 国家重中之重课题“我国短期气候预测系统的研究”(编号:96-908-04-03-3);国家自然科学基金项目(编号:49505069和49705045)

Interannual variability of summer climate modeover East Asia and its mechanism

  • 摘要: 主要研究了东亚(中国和日本)夏季气候(降水和气温)主要模态的年际变化及其机理。研究发现,中国区域夏季降水和气温的大尺度年际变化间有很强的耦合:大范围多(少)雨对应大范围低(高)温。奇异值分解的第一个模态的长期变化主要反映了长江中下游地区降水逐年增加(变湿)的趋势而气温逐年降低(变冷)的趋势。在70年代中期以后,长江中下游地区降水和气温耦合变化的准两年分量明显增强。研究表明,影响长江中下游地区夏季降水和气温年际变化的大尺度环流背景异常十分相似,即主要是两个遥相关型:太平洋-日本(PJ)型和欧亚型遥相关型。与夏季东亚梅雨异常相联系的长江中下游地区降水和气温异常是中高纬度干冷空气和低纬度暖湿空气相互作用的结果。热带西太平洋海表温度异常和相关的对流活动的年际变化通过PJ型对东亚地区夏季降水和气温的年际变化产生十分显着的影响。西太平洋对流活动与北半球大气环流遥相关的相互作用有明显的季节性。PJ型不仅是夏季西太平洋对流活动与北半球夏季热带外地区500hPa高度场年际变化耦合相互作用的最重要模态,而且也是两者各自变化的一个十分重要的模态。1984年夏季北半球500hPa位势高度主振荡型分析表明存在着能量从热带西太平洋向东亚北部的PJ型的振荡传播。低纬度的影响可传播到70°N,同时也存在能量从高纬度向低纬度的传播.即从极地传播到70°N。高纬度和低纬度的影响在70°N附近汇合。
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出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  1998-01-16
  • 修回日期:  1998-11-02

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